Donald Trump is floundering. His Tulsa rally, marketed as his comeback from COVID, yielded one of the most pathetic turnouts in the history of his tenure. Further, while I am no fan of Joe Biden, it is nice to see Trump's favorability rates fall behind Biden by double digits.
Combine that with the fact more than 50% of the country is dissatisfied with how he is handling the COVID pandemic, it is looking more and more likely that Trump will lose in November. This is something that everyone from Berniecrats to centrist liberals can enjoy seeing.
However, lest we repeat the sins of the past, we cannot assume that Trump's defeat is an inevitability. We made that same mistake in 2016, we cannot afford to make it again.
Donald Trump's defeat looks more likely with each blunder of his, and as the COVID crisis spreads and his own police forces become less equiped to silence the rebellion against anti-blackness, the public has begun tearing and burning down, quite literally, institutions of white supremacy. This does not bode well for a white supremacist leader.
However, this is often the time when liberals get lazy and complacent. When victory feels assured for the Democratic Party it is a safe bet that the Democratic Party will forsake important tactics and political moves needed to assure victory. The inevitable result of taking anything for granted in an election is losing, something Democrats are very good at.
In 2016, Clinton took for granted the working class votes in the midwest. Her campaigned minimized their efforts in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio, and as a result all three of those states went to Trump.
Biden and the Democrats risk making the same mistakes if they get too comfortable and assume Trump will do all the work to undue his own campaign. We thought he would be a self-defeating candidate when he first announced he was running, the same day he announced he was running for president Trump became the GOP front-runner. History is doomed to repeat itself if we think Trump will undue himself.
Further, while it is true that Trump's blunders are making Biden look better by comparison to the voters, being the lesser of two evils is not enough to assure a victory, not this time democrats!
Lis Smith, who ran the embarrassingly white Buttigeig campaign into the ground, argues that Biden does not have to campaign in the traditional sense to beat Trump thanks to the COVID pandemic. She argues Biden can win this election "from his basement." This is exactly the kind of laziness that I am talking about.
If liberals and the Biden campaign do not come up with a comprehensive platform that addresses the needs of the public, which at this point include radically increased access to healthcare and direct action to dismantle white supremacy, Biden will lose. We don't just need his mushmouthed attempts at political platitudes, we need radical changes in policy!
Not only this, but the Biden campaign must, I repeat MUST, come up with a way to build up a person-to-person grassroots campaign that navigates around the social distancing required during the COVID crisis. If Biden and the Democrats think they can win the election on Trump's embarrassing behavior alone then they have already begun repeating the sins of the past. It means they have already forgotten in 2016.
Trump and MAGA did not rise to power out of nowhere. There was a long build up to MAGA and it was happening under the last two years of a democratic presidency. Because we had a black democrat in the white house and a female nominee set to replace him, we all got lazy and left Trump and his base unchecked, now we are here.
Just because Trump is slipping does not mean he is no longer a threat. Just because Biden is better in comparison to Trump does not mean his victory is assured. 2016 should have been the lesson to Democrats that nothing can be taken for granted in a campaign.
If you are serious about getting Trump out of office, get off your asses Democrats and meet the needs of the public, don't just count on Trump to ruin himself. You tried that in 2016, and look what it got us! STEP UP!