After Mosul: The coming break-up of Iraq and the end of the Middle East
http://www.middleeasteye.net/essays/after-mosul-coming-break-iraq-and-end-middle-east-1887306183

So I'm stoked to be able to send you my new investigative feature up  at Middle East Eye, which digs deep into the underlying dynamics of the escalating war for Mosul, Iraq, to recapture the city from ISIS. 

The piece provides an in-depth exploration of the surface dynamics of the conflict, and how Western counterinsurgency strategy is likely to backfire badly - and then we step it up a gear and go even deeper into the biophysical drivers of the conflict, the parallel trends with regional states, and what this implies for the future not just of Iraq, but of the entire Middle East.

If you truly want to understand what's happening in the region, start here.