Mexico vs Jamaica (Gold Cup semi-final)
 
Odds + probability:

Mexico 1.46 @ 16%

Draw 3.80 @ 41%

Jamaica 7.40 @ 46%

10 bet simulations with $100 bet size gives us:

Mexico 1.6 * 146 - 1000 = $-766 profit

Draw 4.1 * 380 - 1000 = $558 profit

Jamaica 4.6 * 740 - 1000 = $2404 profit

Conclusion: bet on Jamaica and draw. We won the bet.

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